Predictions for the 93rd Annual Academy Awards

These are my Oscar predictions. I’m not sure yet if I’m going to live-tweet the Endy Award winners during the ceremony again this year. Maybe.

BEST PICTURE

The Father
Judas and the Black Messiah
Mank
Minari
Nomadland
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7

BEST DIRECTOR

Thomas Vinterberg, Another Round
David Fincher, Mank
Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman

BEST ACTOR

Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Anthony Hopkins, The Father
Gary Oldman, Mank
Steven Yeun, Minari

BEST ACTRESS

Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday
Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
Frances McDormand, Nomadland
Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Leslie Odom, Jr., One Night in Miami…
Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
Lakeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
Olivia Colman, The Father
Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Judas and the Black Messiah
Minari
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
The Father
Nomadland
One Night in Miami…
The White Tiger

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Judas and the Black Messiah
Mank
News of the World
Nomadland
The Trial of the Chicago 7

BEST FILM EDITING

The Father
Nomadland
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Love and Monsters
The Midnight Sky
Mulan
The One and Only Ivan
Tenet

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

The Father
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
News of the World
Tenet

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Emma
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
Mulan
Pinocchio

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Emma
Hillbilly Elegy
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mank
Pinocchio

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Da 5 Bloods
Mank
Minari
News of the World
Soul

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

“Fight For You,” Judas and the Black Messiah
“Hear My Voice,” The Trial of the Chicago 7
“Husavik,” Eurovision Song Contest
“Io Sì (Seen),” The Life Ahead (La Vita Davanti a Se)
Speak Now,” One Night In Miami…

BEST SOUND

Greyhound
Mank
News of the World
Soul
Sound of Metal

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Onward
Over the Moon
A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon
Soul
Wolfwalkers

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Collective
Crip Camp
The Mole Agent
My Octopus Teacher
Time

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

Another Round
Better Days
Collective
The Man Who Sold His Skin
Quo Vadis, Aida?

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

Colette
A Concerto Is a Conversation
Do Not Split
Hunger Ward
A Love Song for Latasha

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

Feeling Through
The Letter Room
The Present
Two Distant Strangers
White Eye

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

Burrow
Genius Loci
If Anything Happens I Love You
Opera
Yes-People

This Week in Rankings

Since the last update I wrote about A Writer’s Odyssey, Shock Wave 2, and Crazy Samurai Musashi over at The Chinese Cinema. I also reviewed The Good Woman of Sichuan and As We Like It for InReview Online. And I corresponded about King Hu’s A Touch of Zen at Frame.land and Hong Sangsoo’s Introduction at The Notebook.

If you like what I do here or at Seattle Screen SceneThe Chinese Cinema, or anywhere else, please consider donating at my kofi page. Every little bit helps.

These are the movies I’ve watched or rewatched over the last few weeks, and where they place on my year-by-year rankings.

Baseball Bugs (Friz Freleng) – 10, 1946
The Red Shoes (Michael Powell & Emeric Pressburger) – 1, 1948
Rabbit of Seville (Chuck Jones) – 8, 1950
The Gunfighter (Henry King) – 15, 1950
Duck Dodgers in the 24½th Century (Chuck Jones) – 17, 1953
The War of the Worlds (Byron Haskin) – 23, 1953

Ulysses (Mario Camerini) – 18, 1954
Hercules (Pietro Francisci) – 24, 1958
Hercules Unchained (Pietro Francisci) – 16, 1959
Black Sunday (Mario Bava) – 14, 1960
Hercules and the Conquest of Atlantis (Vittorio Cottafavi) – 8, 1961
Erik the Conquerer (Mario Bava) – 10, 1961

Ninja, A Band of Assassins (Yamamoto Satsuo) – 19, 1962
Django (Sergio Corbucci) – 15, 1966
The Cat O’Nine Tails (Dario Argento) – 13, 1971
Lady Snowblood (Fujita Toshiya) – 9, 1973
The Street Fighter (Ozama Shigehiro) – 33, 1974

Rust Never Sleeps (Neil Young) – 16, 1979
Yokohama BJ Blues (Kudo Eiichi) – 14, 1981
Conquest (Lucio Fulci) – 9, 1983
Mirage (Tsui Siu-ming) – 19, 1987

Iron Angels II (Teresa Woo) – 41, 1988
Iron Angels III (Teresa Woo) – 55, 1989
Princess Madam (Godfrey Ho) – 60, 1989
Fatal Termination (Andrew Kam) – 61, 1990
Bury Me High (Tsui Siu-ming) – 24, 1991

A Personal Journey with Martin Scorsese Through American Movies (Martin Scorsese & Michael Henry Wilson) – 21, 1995
Spirited Away (Miyazaki Hayao) – 6, 2001
Neil Young: Heart of Gold (Jonathan Demme) – 16, 2006
The Three Musketeers (Paul WS Anderson) – 13, 2011
The Problem with Apu (Michael Melamedoff) – 121, 2017
Knives Out (Rian Johnson) – 64, 2019

City Hall (Frederick Wiseman) – 13, 2020
Shock Wave 2 (Herman Yau) – 19, 2020
Crazy Samurai Musashi (Shimomura Yûji) – 33, 2020
MLK/FBI (Sam Pollard) – 41, 2020

Introduction (Hong Sangsoo) – 1, 2021
Justice League (Zack Snyder) – 2, 2021
A Writer’s Odyssey (Lu Yang) – 3, 2021
The Good Woman of Sichuan (Sabrina Zhao) – 4, 2021

Judas and the Black Messiah (Shaka King) – 5, 2021
Kid 90 (Soleil Moon Frye) – 6, 2021
As We Like It (Chen Hung-i & Wei Ying-chuan) – 7, 2021
Framing Britney Spears (Samantha Stark) – 8, 2021