Predictions for the 91st Annual Academy Awards

These are my Oscar predictions. During the ceremony Sunday night, as I’ve done for the past couple of years, I’ll be live-tweeting the winners of the 2018 Endy Awards, the nominees for which can be found here. Follow along on twitter @TheEndofCinema.

BEST PICTURE

Black Panther
Blackkklansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
A Star Is Born
Vice

BEST DIRECTOR

Spike Lee, Blackkklansman
Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Adam McKay, Vice

BEST ACTOR

Christian Bale, Vice
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

BEST ACTRESS

Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
Glenn Close, The Wife
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell, Vice

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Amy Adams, Vice
Marina De Tavira, Roma
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

The Favourite
First Reformed
Green Book
Roma
Vice

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
BlacKkKlansman
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star Is Born

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Cold War
The Favourite
Never Look Away
Roma
A Star Is Born

BEST FILM EDITING

BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Vice

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Avengers: Infinity War
Christopher Robin
First Man
Ready Player One
Solo: A Star Wars Story

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Black Panther
The Favourite
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Roma

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Border
Mary Queen of Scots
Vice

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Black Panther
BlacKkKlansman
If Beale Street Could Talk
Isle of Dogs
Mary Poppins Returns

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

“All The Stars,” Black Panther
“I’ll Fight,” RBG
“The Place Where Lost Things Go,” Mary Poppins Returns
“Shallow,” A Star Is Born
“When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings,” The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

BEST SOUND EDITING

Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
A Quiet Place
Roma

BEST SOUND MIXING

Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
Roma
A Star Is Born

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Free Solo
Hale County This Morning, This Evening
Minding the Gap
Of Fathers and Sons
RBG

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Capernaum
Cold War
Never Look Away
Roma
Shoplifters

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

Black Sheep
End Game
Lifeboat
A Night at the Garden
Period. End of Sentence.

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

Detainment
Fauve
Marguerite
Mother
Skin

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

Animal Behaviour
Bao
Late Afternoon
One Small Step
Weekends

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Books of 2018

Here is a ranked list of the books which I finished reading in 2018:

  1. Loitering with Intent, Muriel Spark
  2. Master and Commander, Patrick O’Brien
  3. Moons of Jupiter, Alice Munro
  4. The Murder of Roger Ackroyd, Agatha Christie
  5. Outside Stories, Eliot Weinberger
  6. Preludes & Nocturnes (Sandman #1), Neil Gaiman
  7. Works on Paper, Eliot Weinberger
  8. Post Captain, Patrick O’Brien
  9. Empires of the Word, Nicholas Oster
  10. At the Existentialist Café, Sarah Bakewell
  11. HMS Surprise, Patrick O’Brien
  12. For Whom the Bell Tolls, Ernest hemingway
  13. Capitalist Realism, Mark Fisher
  14. Fixed Ideas, Joan Didion
  15. The Man in the Brown Suit, Agatha Christie
  16. Fables, Vol. 1, Bill Willingham
  17. The Mauritius Command, Patrick O’Brien
  18. The Reactionary Mind, Corey Robin
  19. Batman: The Killing Joke, Alan Moore
  20. Desolation Island, Patrick O’Brien
  21. The Mysterious Affair at Styles, Agatha Christie
  22. The Surgeon’s Mate, Patrick O’Brien
  23. The Chapo Guide to Revolution
  24. The Doll’s House (Sandman #2), Neil Gaiman
  25. The Fortune of War, Patrick O’Brien
  26. The Art of Smart Football, Chris Brown
  27. The Essential Smart Football, Chris Brown
  28. Big Game, Mark Leibovich
  29. The Secret of Chimneys, Agatha Christie
  30. The Murder on the Links, Agatha Christie
  31. The Secret Adversary, Agatha Christie
  32. It Crawled from the South, Marcus Gray
  33. The Big Four, Agatha Christie
  34. Fire and Fury, Michael Wolff

Currently reading, ranked in order of how close I am to finishing:

  1. The Ionian Mission, Patrick O’Brien
  2. The Power Broker, Robert Moses
  3. Middlemarch, George Eliot
  4. A World to Win: The Life and Work of Karl Marx, Sven-Eric Liedman
  5. Against the Day, Thomas Pynchon
  6. The Fourth World Omnibus, Jack Kirby

The Best Older Movies I Saw in 2018

An annual tradition here at The End, this is a look at my favorite film discoveries of the year, any movie more than a few years old that I saw for the first time in 2018. Previous years include: 20172016201520142013201220112010200920082007, and 2006. I watched just over 350 films this year, about 60 of which qualified for this list, and these are 31 of my favorites.

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Hana and Alice (Shunji Iwai, 2004)

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Kamikaze Taxi (Masato Harada, 1995)

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Wanda (Barbara Loden, 1970)

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Bound for the Fields, the Mountains and the Seacoast (Nobuhiko Obayashi, 1986)

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Long Arm of the Law (Johnny Mak, 1984)

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The Longest Summer (Fruit Chan, 1998)

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Wooden Crosses (Raymond Bernard, 1932)

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Final Victory (Patrick Tam, 1987)

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Dream Lovers (Tony Au, 1986)

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Love Letter (Shunji Iwai, 1995)

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That Day, on the Beach (Edward Yang, 1983)

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Love Unto Waste (Stanley Kwan, 1986)

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List (Hong Sangsoo, 2011)

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The Boxer’s Omen (Kuei Chih-hung, 1983)

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Crime Story (Kirk Wong, 1993)

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Tonight Nobody Goes Home (Sylvia Chang, 1996)

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Detective Chinatown (Chen Sicheng, 2015)

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Something Good – Negro Kiss (William Selig, 1898)

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Cops and Robbers (Alex Cheung, 1979)

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Siao Yu (Sylvia Chang, 1995)

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Lost in the Mountains (Hong Sangsoo, 2009)

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Princess D (Sylvia Chang, 2002)

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Duel to the Death (Ching Siu-tung, 1983)

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Nine to Five (Colin Higgins, 1980)

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Mind Game (Masaaki Yuasa, 2004)

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Little Forest: Winter/Spring/Summer/Autumn (Junichi Mori, 2014-15)

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Bewitched (Kuei Chih-hung, 1981)

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Women (Stanley Kwan, 1985)

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Man of Steel (Zack Snyder, 2013)

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Seeding of a Ghost (Chuan Yang, 1983)

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Fireworks, Should We See It from the Side or the Bottom? (Shunji Iwai, 1993)

The Best Movies of 2018 (So Far)

We are now halfway through the year and as has become an annual tradition here at The End, it’s time to look back at the best movies of the year so far. As I discussed in the 2013 halfway post, the consensus movie-dating system is nonsensical and posits New York as the center of the universe. Far more logical (and much easier to use) is a system reliant on imdb’s dating system, which locates a film in whatever year it first played for an audience. That’s what we use here for all Rankings & Awards as it’s the most fair to all eras and areas. (A dating system reliant on playing in a certain locality I think can be valuable for a publication that is geographically specific, like a local newspaper or website. But here at The End, we have a global reach.)

A by-product of the system is that a number of films that first go into wide-release in any given year actually had their premiere in the year before. A number of the films on many critics’ halfway-point lists will include these films, films that find their proper home here on my 2017 list. And so here we have two lists: the Best Movies of 2018, following the strict imdb dating system, and the Best 2017 Movies of 2018, which includes those films from last year that you might find on a more chronologically-illogical list. I also have a third list, Best Unreleased Movies of 2017, of last year’s films that have yet to see a New York release and therefore don’t (yet) exist by the standards of most critics. And a fourth list, a halfway version of my annual Best Older Movies list, counting the top movies I saw for the first time this year that are more than a few years old.

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The Best Movies of 2018 (So Far)

1. Grass (Hong Sangsoo)
2. Little Forest (Yim Soonrye)
3. Dead Pigs (Cathy Yan)
4. The 15:17 to Paris (Clint Eastwood)
5. Matangi/Maya/MIA (Steven Loveridge)
6. Operation Red Sea (Dante Lam)
7. The Monkey King 3 (Soi Cheang)
8. Avengers: Infinity War (Anthony & Joe Russo)
9. Isle of Dogs (Wes Anderson)
10. Black Panther (Ryan Coogler)
11. La cartographe (Nathan Douglas)
12. Girls Always Happy (Yang Mingming)
13. How Long Will I Love U (Su Lun)
14. Detective Chinatown 2 (Chen Sicheng)
15. The Widowed Witch (Cai Chengjie)
16. The Commuter (Jaume Collet-Serra)

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The Best 2017 Movies of 2018 (So Far)

1. Claire’s Camera (Hong Sangsoo)
2. 24 Frames (Abbas Kiarostami)
3. The Green Fog (Guy Maddin, Evan & Galen Johnson)
4. Let the Sunshine In (Claire Denis)
5. Angels Wear White (Vivian Qu)
6. The Day After (Hong Sangsoo)
7. 1987: When the Day Comes (Jang Joonhwan)
8. Before We Vanish (Kiyoshi Kurosawa)
9. Western (Valeska Grisebach)
10. Zama (Lucrecia Martel)
11. The Death of Stalin (Armando Iannucci)
12. Ismael’s Ghosts (Arnaud Desplechin)
13. Did You Wonder Who Fired the Gun? (Travis Wilkerson)
14. Lu Over the Wall (Masaaki Yuasa)

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The Best Unreleased Films of 2017 (So Far)

1. Maison du bonheur (Sofia Bohdanowicz)
2. Bad Genius (Nattawut Poonpiriya)
3. Love and Goodbye in Hawaii (Shingo Matsumura)
4. The Village of No Return (Chen Yu-hsun)
5. 77 Heartbreaks (Herman Yau)
6. The Burden of Other People’s Thoughts (Don Hertzfeldt)
7. Fail to Appear (Antoine Bourges)
8. Hit the Night (Jeong Gayoung)
9. Love Education (Sylvia Chang)
10. Pumpkin Movie (Sophy Romvari)
11. SPL: Paradox (Wilson Yip)
12. Prototype (Blake Williams)
13. Sekigahara (Masato Harada)
14. Chang-Ok’s Letter (Shunji Iwai)
15. Wrath of Silence (Xin Yukun)
16. The Great Buddha+ (Huang Hsin-yao)
17. Wasteland No. 1: Ardent Verdant (Jodie Mack)
18. Mr. Long (Sabu)
19. From Nine to Nine (Neil Bahadur)
20. Scaffold (Kazik Radwanski)
21. Manhunt (John Woo)

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2018 Discoveries (So Far)

1. Kamikaze Taxi (Masato Harada, 1995)
2. Long Arm of the Law (Johnny Mak, 1984)
3. Final Victory (Patrick Tam, 1987)
4. Lost in the Mountains (Hong Sangsoo, 2009)
5. That Day, On the Beach (Edward Yang, 1983)
6. Dream Lovers (Tony Au, 1986)
7. Love Unto Waste (Stanley Kwan, 1986)
8. Cops and Robbers (Alex Cheung, 1979)
9. Princess D (Sylvia Chang, 2002)
10. Tonight Nobody Goes Home (Sylvia Chang, 1996)
11. Crime Story (Kirk Wong, 1993)
12. Duel to the Death (Ching Siu-tung, 1983)
13. Siao Yu (Sylvia Chang, 1995)
14. Women (Stanley Kwan, 1985)
15. Passion (Sylvia Chang, 1986)
16. Hit Team (Dante Lam, 2001)
17. Clan of the White Lotus (Lo Lieh, 1980)